Smaller containerlines are rapidly exiting the transpacific trades as weakening freight rates erode margins, according to Danish consultancy Sea-Intelligence.

Fresh analysis shows that capacity offered by non-alliance carriers on the Asia-North America west coast route has dropped to a 10-year low, excluding the early pandemic period. The sharp pullback highlights how quickly independent operators respond to deteriorating market conditions.

The consultancy said the trend reflects a familiar cycle in the transpacific. When freight markets are strong, smaller and non-alliance players move in to capture higher returns. However, as rates weaken, these same operators are often the first to withdraw capacity.

“Competition is alive and well in the transpacific trade,” Sea-Intelligence said. “When freight rate levels are economically attractive, there is a rapid ramp-up in non-alliance capacity. When freight rates are low, such non-alliance capacity pulls out again.”

The latest retreat comes as broader demand indicators soften. US consumer confidence fell to its lowest level on record in April 2026, according to the University of Michigan, signalling weaker import demand ahead.