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Prices edge higher as cooler temperatures boost demand

Dutch and British wholesale gas prices edged higher on Tuesday morning as forecasts for cooler temperatures lifted demand for gas.

The benchmark Dutch front-month contract at the TTF hub (TRNLTTFMc1) was up 0.09 euro at 33.10 euros per megawatt hour (MWh), or $11.43/mmBtu, by 0819 GMT, LSEG data showed.

The Dutch day-ahead contract (TRNLTTFD1) was up 0.10 euro at 32.85 euros/MWh

The British front-month gas price (TRGBNBPMc1) was up 0.36 pence at 81.67 pence per therm.

Local distribution zone demand, which includes home heating, is expected to rise by 52 gigawatt hours/day to 781 GWh/d for the day-ahead in Northwest Europe, LSEG data showed.

“This follows temperature forecasts indicating a slight dip of 0.5 degrees Celsius to 16.5 C,” LSEG analyst Dzmitry Dauhalevich said in a daily research note.

Norwegian exports continued to be curbed by maintenance and were forecast at 240 million cubic metres/day, down 7 mcm/d, LSEG data showed.
“Temperature will of course now become a key focus on the near term delivery contracts and will be a key driver of direction,” Auxilione, a consultancy, said in a daily research note.

The market will also be watching for more details of a gas supply deal after Hungary’s foreign minister said on Tuesday that he would sign a new long-term gas purchase agreement later in the day.

In the European carbon market, the benchmark contract (CFI2Zc1) was down 0.22 euro at 76.95 euros a metric ton.
Source: Reuters



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