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China’s Real Estate Challenges Impact Steel and Iron Ore Market Demand

China’s real estate sector continues to face difficulties, significantly affecting demand for dry bulk materials like steel and iron ore.

Recently, Hong Kong’s High Court ordered the liquidation of state-run developer China South City Holdings, which owes nearly $8 billion. This represents the largest Chinese builder by assets to be dissolved since the China Evergrande Group crisis.

Data from July indicates a 24% drop in new home sales for the top 100 Chinese property companies compared to last year. According to a report from BIMCO, new real estate starts in China have decreased for five consecutive years. The first half of 2025 alone saw a 20.1% decline, leading to diminished construction activities and reduced demand for raw materials in the dry bulk sector.

Maritime insights from Signal reveal that China’s property sector constitutes approximately 35–40% of the nation’s domestic steel and iron ore demand. In the first quarter of 2025, the sector experienced a 24% reduction in new residential construction starts year-on-year, with property investment falling by about 16.5%.

Despite government incentives, including a ¥4 trillion ($27 billion) loan facility and tax incentives, market interest remains low. A surplus of unsold homes and ongoing developer bankruptcies continue to hamper construction activity and raw material consumption, according to Signal’s latest market update.

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